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I have been into the weather since I was in my teenager years. I have always been facinated about how the weather works and how the clouds move from west to east...I followed some great weather forecasters over the years,such as Bob Copeland, Harvey Leonard and Pete Bouchard,all great Boston Forecasters. I provided weather observations for the National Weather Services of Gray Maine and for Taunton's NWSFO as both Coop Observer and Skywarn Spotter and for the National Hurricane Center as a landfalling observer for many years before moving to Maine.

My weather outlooks are not in any way a official forecast or outlook for the general public to base their daily plans upon. It is just my opinion and thoughts on what is happening here in New England based on what I see in the atmosphere and how it could effect us on a daily basis. This is my disclaimer and NortheastWeatherEye.com is not responsible for the content provided on this weather site.

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Forecast Models

GFS MODEL

What is the GFS model do?

The GFS model,which stands for

The GFS stands for Global Forecast System and is one of the two main models run by the National Weather Service. The GFS is run 4 times per day based on the synoptic data times (00Z, 06Z, 12Z, 18Z) and the output is in two different resolutions, 90 kilometers (GFS90) and 40 km (GFS40).

EUROPEAN MODEL

European Models. Forecasters use two European models to forecast in the medium range time period. One of models, known as the UKMET model, was developed in the United Kingdom. The other model, known as the ECMWF, is based in the European Meteorological Center. Both the UKMET and the ECMWF have a resolution of 75 kilometers, which is better than the MRF resolution of 150 km. Both models also give forecasts for the entire northern hemisphere like the MRF.

GEM MODEL

The GEM model is currently operational for the global data assimilation cycle and medium-range forecasting, the regional data assimilation spin-up cycle and short-range forecasting. Furthermore mesoscale forecasts are produced overnight and are available to the operational forecasters. A growing number of meteorological applications are now either based on or use the GEM model. Output from the GEM goes out to 10 days, on par with the Integrated Forecast System and the effective range of the Global Forecast System, the GEM's primary rivals from Europe and the United States respectively.

The GEM model has been developed to meet the operational weather forecasting needs of Canada for the coming years. These presently include short-range regional forecasting, medium-range global forecasting, and data assimilation. In the future they will include nowcasting at the meso-scales, and dynamic extended-range forecasting on monthly to seasonal timescales. The essence of the approach is to develop a single highly efficient model that can be reconfigured at run time to either run globally at uniform-resolution (with possibly degraded resolution in the "other" hemisphere), or to run with variable resolution over a global domain such that high resolution is focused over an area of interest.

AVN MODEL

The AVN is a 28-level model with 100 km horizontal resolution which runs twice per day producing 72-hour forecasts. It will be refined to 40 levels and approximately 80 km resolution in late 1994. Another advancement will be the conversion from spectral to semi-lagrangian methodology in 1995. The AVN will run four times per day beginning in early 1996. In 1998 the AVN will run with 60 km or finer resolution using 50 levels. The RSM will run within this model at 20 km resolution providing the main synoptic guidance over North America.

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New England Weather Views

NORTHEASTWEATHEREYE.COM WEATHER VIEW HEADLINES FOR THURSDAY FEBRUARY 23,2012

SIGNIFICANT COASTAL STORM ARRIVES FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS... 6-10" FOR INTERIOR SECTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND..

SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS AND COLD TEMPS..

EVENING FOLKS..... MODELS HAVE TRENDED COLDER AND MORE OF A WIDESPREAD SNOW FOR INTERIOR SECTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...THE PRIMARY LOW WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN NEW YORK WHILE A MORE POTENT SECONDARY FORMS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY NIGHT.. THE NAM AND GFS AND EURO MODELS ARE SIGNALING A STRONGER STORM AND THIS WILL DELIVER A SWATH OF HEAVY WET SNOW INTO INTERIOR SECTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND.. THE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOST LIKELY BEGIN BY MID MORNING. RAIN WILL BE NOTED IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND TO THE CAPE AND THE ISLANDS...THIS IS WHERE THE TEMPS WILL BE WARMER AND TOUGH TO DISLODGE.. THE STORM WILL REALLY GET CRANKING BY LATER TOMORROW AFTERNOON FOR MOST INTERIOR SECTIONS AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY MORNING..SO TO COVER MY BUTT HERE..I WOULD GIVE A WIDESPREAD 6-10 FROM THE MONADNOCKS OF SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE INTO VERMONT,MUCH OF MAINE . THE ONLY PLACES THAT HAVE A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN VERMONT,WHERE THEY COULD SEE CLOSE TO A FOOT OF SNOW THERE..

THERE ARE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES POSTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND..THESE ADVISORIES COULD BE UPGRADED TO WINTER STORM WARNINGS TOMORROW IF SNOW TOTALS INCREASE.

I WILL HAVE ANOTHER UPDATE LATE TONIGHT IF WARRANTED,OTHERWISE TOMORROW MORNING.

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